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19.10. CHAMPIONS LEAGUE: PREVIEWS AND BETTING

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The Champions League continues with a bang on Wednesday, as Barcelona host Manchester City. Pep Guardiola will lead his new team at the Camp Nou, where he enjoys legendary status. TurtleBet also takes a look at Bayern Munich - PSV Eindhoven.

PREVIEW: BARCELONA - MANCHESTER CITY

Pep Guardiola won everything there is to be won in club football as Barcelona manager between 2008-2012, and also as a player between 1990-2001. Now the man is back at the Camp Nou with his new team. There is no room for sentiment, as Barca show no mercy at their home ground, especially after the Champions League has bellowed out of the speakers.

Barcelona are currently "only" fourth in La Liga, as Luis Enrique's men have suffered shock defeats to Alaves at home (1-2), and away to Celta Vigo (4-3). However, in the Champions League Barca have shown strength both in terms of skill and mental fortitude, as the Blaugrana first demolished Celtic 7-0 and then came from 1-0 behind to beat Mönchengladbach 1-2.

Every year in all of the leagues around Europe the big teams occasionally stumble. However, in the Champions League Barca have managed to avoid this for a long time, as they have gone 17 consecutive games undefeated at the Nou Camp. Barca's last home defeat in the competition dates as far back as May 2013!

Guardiola's time as City manager started perfectly, with his first 10 games heralding 10 victories. However, after the 3-3 draw at Celtic City have struggled. Now the Sky Blues have gone three matches without a win, as first Spurs took them apart 2-0, which was followed by a disappointing 1-1 draw at home against Everton. Despite their strong start to the season Guardiola still has a lot of work to do.

The positive news for City coming into the match is that Sergio Agüero, Kevin de Bruyne, Raheem Sterling and David Silva are finally all fit at the same time. However, the situation is the same for their Spanish opponents, as the formerly injured trio of Lionel Messi, Sergi Robero and Jordi Alba should all be fit come Wednesday.

BETTING IDEAS:

Guardiola knows his opponents inside out, but only a couple of teams can claim to have nullified the MSN-trio - Messi-Suarez-Neymar. On recent showings City aren't capable of it either. City have not kept a clean sheet in five consecutive games, conceding eight goals in the process.

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities this season, but Barca's quality going forward means they are more likely to take advantage of any mistakes.

Home team to win with both teams scoring, Yes: 31/20 (Unibet/LeoVegas)

Get a 20€ ensured bet for Barcelona-Man City! >>>

Both teams are known for their free-flowing attacking, so the odds for overs are rather small, as you can only get 21/50 (Unibet/LeoVegas) on over 2.5 goals. The odds on both teams scoring are a pinch more lucrative.

Both teams to score, Yes: 57/100 (Fastbet/Bethard)

In their last eight UCL-games Barca have scored an average of 3.5 goals per game, so if you think they can yet again do something similar, here are the best odds available.

Home team to score over 2.5 goals: 11/10 (Unibet/LeoVegas)

Home team to score over 3.5 goals: 57/20 (Unibet/LeoVegas)

Over 3.5 goals in this match isn't impossible with two so attacking-minded teams. A draw would be a good result for Guardiola and City, but Pep's teams rarely go out to defend and park the bus...

Total goals in the match, over 3.5 goals: 51/50 (Betsafe)

Bet FC Barcelona X Manchester City
1x2 11/20 Betsson 77/20 Unibet 111/20 Fastbet
Handicap FCB -1: 5/4 LeoVegas   MCFC +1 3/2 Bet365
Asian handicap FCB -1,5: 69/50 Unibet  

MCFC +1,5: 17/25 Betcart

 

Over/under 3.5 goals Over 3,5: 51/50 Betsafe   Under 2,5 17/20 LeoVegas
Both teams to score Yes: 57/100 Fastbet   No: 8/5 Unibet

Barcelona's last five matches:
15.10. Barcelona - La Coruna 4-0
2.10. Celta Vigo - Barcelona 4-3
28.9. Möchengladbach - Barcelona 1-2 (UCL)
24.9. Gijon - Barcelona 0-5
21.9. Barcelona - Atletico 1-1

City's last five matches:
15.10. Man City - Everton 1-1
2.10. Tottenham - Man City 2-0
28.9. Celtic - Man City 3-3 (UCL)
24.9. Swansea - Man City 1-3
21.9. Swansea - Man City 1-2 (league cup)

PREVIEW: BAYERN MUNICH - PSV

Bayern Munich's situation can be compared to that of Manchester City. Bayern started their first season under Carlo Ancelotti with eight consecutive wins in all competitions with a staggering goal difference of 27-1! However, in their last Champions League match Atletico Madrid fought and conquered them, and after that defeat they have had trouble.

Like City, Bayern have now gone three games without a win, as they have suffered two draws in the Bundesliga against FC Cologne (1-1) and Frankfurt (2-2). Ancelotti has also had to deal with an injury crisis, as out of their star names Franck Ribery, Arturo Vidal, Douglas Costa, Javi Marinez and Juan Bernat have all been sidelined in recent weeks. The in-form Ribery in particular has been dearly missed. However, luckily for Ancelotti only Ribery is 100% out on Wednesday.

This could be PSV's big chance to strike, but the Dutch have been far from their best recently, drawing twice in the league against Heracles and Heerenveen despite having full control of both matches. Their last UCL-match also brought just a single point, as FK Rostov held them to a 2-2 draw.

PSV are in desperate need of points, as they also lost their opening game 0-1 to Atletico Madrid. Despite their lacklustre showing in Russia, PSV have been good on the road this campaign, as they are yet to lose this season away from home.

However, now PSV need their best performance of the season to get anything from the Allianz Arena, as Bayern have been dominant at home in the Champions League. The Bavarians have won 13 games in a row at home in the UCL, and that run is the longest winning streak in the history of the competition!

BETTING IDEAS:

Bayern have been fantastic at home in the Champions League, and it is hard to see PSV breaking their impressive run. In their last home Champions League encounter the Germans dismantled FK Rostov 5-0, and judging by the odds more of the same is expected come Wednesday. That's how small odds for a Bayern victory are, even with handicaps.

Handicap: Bayern -1: 53/100 (Unibet/LeoVegas)

Asian handicap: Bayern -1,5: 18/25 (Betcart)

If the low odds don't please you, a possible PSV goal good be your cup of tea, as the German giants have struggled defensively in recent weeks. Bayern conceded only once in their first eight games, but after that they have failed to keep a clean sheet in three consecutive matches.

Home team to win and both teams to score, Yes: 8/5 (Unibet/LeoVegas)

Both teams to score, Yes: 89/100 (Unibet/LeoVegas)

Bayern's Joshua Kimmich has been one of the Germans' best players this season, with the 21-year old German scoring in three consecutive games in the league. Kimmich didn't find the net against Atletico, but in the 5-0 mauling of FK Rostov he struck twice. Fastbet have great odds for Kimmich scoring compared to other bookies (Unibet / LeoVegas: 37/20).

To score at any time in the match: Joshua Kimmich: 51/20 (Fastbet)

BETTING ODDS:

Bet FC Bayern Munich X PSV
1x2 29/100 Fastbet 27/4 Betsson 14/1 Bet365
Handicap FCB -1: 53/100 Unibet   PSV +1 31/10 LeoVegas
Asian handicap FCB -1,5: 18/25 Betcart  

PSV +1,5: 69/50 Unibet

 

Over/under 3.5 goals Over 3,5: 48/50 Betsafe   Under 2,5 9/10 LeoVegas
Both teams to score Yes: 89/100 LeoVegas   No: 11/10 Betcart

Bayern's last five matches:
15.10. Frankfurt - Bayern 2-2
1.10. Bayern - FC Köln 1-1
28.9. Atletico - Bayern 1-0 (UCL)
24.9. Hamburger SV - Bayern 0-1
21.9. Bayern - Hertha 3-0

PSV's last five matches:
15.10. PSV - Heracles 1-1
1.10. Heerenveen - PSV 1-1
28.9. FK Rostov - PSV 2-2 (UCL)
24.9. Exelsior - PSV 1-3
21.9. PSV - Roda 4-0 (Dut. cup)

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