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The Championship play-offs are in full throttle. Sheffield Wednesday's 1-1 draw with Brighton yesterday was enough to confirm their place in the Wembley final. This also meant that our twitter-tip (under 2.5 goals) hit home impressively. Wednesday's opponents will be decided on Tuesday night as Hull and Derby come face-to-face. Who'll clinch promotion?


19:45 HULL - DERBY

As the first leg finished 3-0 to Hull, tonight's match may well be just a formality. Derby need to win by three goals just to reach extra-time. 

Derby can't give up, so all they can do is give it their all and hope for a Hull meltdown. Derby have to take huge risks in terms of tactics to have any chance of progressing, which will mean an open match with the likelihood of goals high.

Hull are favourites due to their superior material and home advantage, but it shouldn't be forgotten that even a defeat by a two-goal margin is enough to secure their spot in the final. Because Hull have no motivation to win the match as progression is paramount, the starting point for this match is completely different from a normal one. If Derby take the lead, Hull won't be searching for an equalizer, instead doing their all to keep hold of their two-goal advantage.

This means the likelihood of a Hull victory is significantly smaller. The odds favour the hosts, so a surprising away win is a great betting idea. The best option in our opinion is Derby +1, where even a draw is enough! It should also be remembered that the amount of goals could skyrocket tonight, so over-bets are also a good addition to your betting plans.


** Derby +1 73/100 Bet365

** Over 2.5 goals 1/1 Betsafe

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